Advanced Team Statistics

Statistics at the conclusion of Round 25 of the NRL

Legend

Offensive Rating: SPG * PPS (marginally weighted for more recent results)

Defensive Rating: SCPG * PCPS (marginally weighted for more recent results)

Net Rating: Offensive and Defensive Rating differential

Strength of Schedule: Mean Net Rating of opponents adjusted for Home/Away advantage

Future Strength of Schedule: Mean Net Rating of all future opponents adjusted for Home/Away advantage of

Pythagoeran Wins: Pythagorean Expectation a measure of a teams expected wins based on For/Against

Pythagorean SoS: Mean Pythagorean Wins of all opponents adjusted for Home/Away advantage

Quantified Luck: Given in Wins; the difference between a teams Pythagorean Wins (expected wins) and a teams actual wins combined with the difference between a teams Pythagorean SoS and the league average Pythagorean SoS. Negative values indicate a team has been ‘lucky’ and is given as how many ‘actual’ wins below their current total a team should have based on their Pythagorean Expectation and a league average schedule difficulty. Positive values indicate a team has been ‘unlucky’  and is given as how many ‘actual’ wins above their current total a team should have based on their Pythagorean Expectation and a league average schedule difficulty.

Ball Movement: All values are given as a percentage over average

Ball Movement %: LE%+GPP%+OFF%-DHR%-1PH%

Home Advantage in 2018
Offensive Advantage(PPG) 0.83
Defensive Advantage(PPG) -0.67
Home Advantage (Comparedto League Average) 1.50
Home Advantage (PPGSwing) 3.00
Offence
Rank Team Sets per Game Expected Points per Set Offensive Rating
1 Broncos 36.75 0.72 26.29
2 Rabbitohs 37.69 0.65 24.38
3 Sharks 38.01 0.63 23.84
4 Roosters 38.10 0.62 23.62
5 Raiders 35.78 0.64 23.05
6 Storm 38.67 0.56 21.67
7 Panthers 38.03 0.56 21.18
8 Titans 37.34 0.56 20.86
9 Sea Eagles 35.38 0.58 20.64
10 Cowboys 38.05 0.54 20.40
11 Bulldogs 37.71 0.52 19.62
12 Warriors 36.10 0.53 19.06
13 Dragons 36.97 0.50 18.61
14 Knights 36.63 0.47 17.06
15 Eels 37.44 0.43 15.97
16 Tigers 36.67 0.43 15.71
Defence
Rank Team Sets Conceded Expected Points Concededper Set Defensive Rating
1 Storm 36.52 0.42 15.31
2 Roosters 36.84 0.42 15.59
3 Sharks 35.72 0.49 17.67
4 Bulldogs 36.66 0.50 18.44
5 Rabbitohs 36.17 0.52 18.78
6 Warriors 36.47 0.52 19.03
7 Dragons 38.72 0.55 20.01
8 Panthers 37.31 0.56 21.01
9 Tigers 39.81 0.54 21.22
10 Broncos 36.74 0.54 21.54
11 Cowboys 35.75 0.61 21.80
12 Raiders 36.37 0.61 22.27
13 Eels 38.15 0.60 22.97
14 Titans 38.59 0.61 23.44
15 Knights 37.94 0.65 24.63
16 Sea Eagles 37.13 0.74 27.58
Net
Rank Team Strength of Schedule Future Strength of Schedule Net Rating
1 Roosters -0.80 9.17 7.67
2 Storm -0.81 4.58 6.14
3 Sharks -0.37 7.64 6.08
4 Broncos 0.44 -4.03 5.99
5 Rabbitohs -0.22 7.64 5.44
6 Bulldogs 0.46 0 1.15
7 Raiders -0.15 0 0.76
8 Panthers -0.67 -1.47 0.18
9 Warriors 0.86 1.68 0.03
10 Cowboys 0.74 0 -1.34
11 Titans 0.35 0 -2.47
12 Dragons 0.43 7.59 -2.53
13 Tigers 0.18 0 -5.64
14 Eels -0.15 0 -6.57
15 Sea Eagles 0.27 0 -6.88
16 Knights 0.17 0 -7.27
Quantified Luck
Rank Team Pythagorean Wins Pythagorean SoS Luck
1 Panthers 13.25 11.45 -2.34
2 Tigers 9.77 12.18 -2.09
3 Sharks 14.29 11.81 -1.94
4 Warriors 12.62 12.49 -1.93
5 Dragons 13.12 12.10 -1.81
6 Broncos 13.20 12.27 -1.57
7 Rabbitohs 15.17 11.83 -1.03
8 Knights 7.84 12.28 -0.91
9 Storm 16.23 11.53 -0.28
10 Roosters 16.39 11.58 -0.06
11 Eels 7.81 12.04 1.81
12 Titans 9.65 12.28 1.90
13 Raiders 12.47 11.90 2.34
14 Sea Eagles 9.56 12.07 2.59
15 Cowboys 10.32 12.37 2.66
16 Bulldogs 10.85 12.38 3.19
Ball Movement
Rank Team Dummy-Half Runs One-Pass-Hitups Line Engagements General Play Passes Offloads Ball Movement %
1 Rabbitohs 16.97% -12.97% 36.89% 30.14% 6.23% 69.25%
2 Sharks -6.50% 0.67% 8.49% 9.85% 19.24% 43.41%
3 Sea Eagles -34.43% -3.34% -13.23% 1.33% 14.91% 40.77%
4 Panthers -4.07% -10.07% 7.70% 4.81% 13.17% 39.82%
5 Cowboys -27.55% -5.07% 17.39% 15.50% -32.79% 32.71%
6 Warriors 1.19% 2.52% -0.67% 0.29% 30.08% 25.99%
7 Titans -9.33% -1.86% 1.03% 2.03% -6.34% 7.91%
8 Roosters -49.00% 9.61% -5.12% -8.14% -25.85% 0.27%
9 Dragons 18.59% 9.49% 1.16% 0.24% 21.41% -5.27%
10 Storm 17.78% -0.94% 4.04% -9.97% 2.76% -20.01%
11 Tigers 26.69% -0.44% -7.08% -6.14% 14.04% -25.43%
12 Bulldogs 32.36% 6.22% -2.50% 1.63% 11.87% -27.57%
13 Knights -11.76% -2.42% -8.39% -4.75% -31.49% -30.45%
14 Eels 13.33% 2.46% -8.39% -3.14% -12.85% -40.17%
15 Broncos -12.98% 13.00% -17.29% -16.79% -15.88% -49.99%
16 Raiders 28.71% -6.86% -14.02% -16.88% -8.51% -61.26%

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