Advanced Team Statistics
Statistics at the conclusion of Round 25 of the NRL
Legend
Offensive Rating: SPG * PPS (marginally weighted for more recent results)
Defensive Rating: SCPG * PCPS (marginally weighted for more recent results)
Net Rating: Offensive and Defensive Rating differential
Strength of Schedule: Mean Net Rating of opponents adjusted for Home/Away advantage
Future Strength of Schedule: Mean Net Rating of all future opponents adjusted for Home/Away advantage of
Pythagoeran Wins: Pythagorean Expectation a measure of a teams expected wins based on For/Against
Pythagorean SoS: Mean Pythagorean Wins of all opponents adjusted for Home/Away advantage
Quantified Luck: Given in Wins; the difference between a teams Pythagorean Wins (expected wins) and a teams actual wins combined with the difference between a teams Pythagorean SoS and the league average Pythagorean SoS. Negative values indicate a team has been ‘lucky’ and is given as how many ‘actual’ wins below their current total a team should have based on their Pythagorean Expectation and a league average schedule difficulty. Positive values indicate a team has been ‘unlucky’ and is given as how many ‘actual’ wins above their current total a team should have based on their Pythagorean Expectation and a league average schedule difficulty.
Ball Movement: All values are given as a percentage over average
Ball Movement %: LE%+GPP%+OFF%-DHR%-1PH%
| Home Advantage in 2018 | |
| Offensive Advantage(PPG) | 0.83 |
| Defensive Advantage(PPG) | -0.67 |
| Home Advantage (Comparedto League Average) | 1.50 |
| Home Advantage (PPGSwing) | 3.00 |
| Offence | ||||
| Rank | Team | Sets per Game | Expected Points per Set | Offensive Rating |
| 1 | Broncos | 36.75 | 0.72 | 26.29 |
| 2 | Rabbitohs | 37.69 | 0.65 | 24.38 |
| 3 | Sharks | 38.01 | 0.63 | 23.84 |
| 4 | Roosters | 38.10 | 0.62 | 23.62 |
| 5 | Raiders | 35.78 | 0.64 | 23.05 |
| 6 | Storm | 38.67 | 0.56 | 21.67 |
| 7 | Panthers | 38.03 | 0.56 | 21.18 |
| 8 | Titans | 37.34 | 0.56 | 20.86 |
| 9 | Sea Eagles | 35.38 | 0.58 | 20.64 |
| 10 | Cowboys | 38.05 | 0.54 | 20.40 |
| 11 | Bulldogs | 37.71 | 0.52 | 19.62 |
| 12 | Warriors | 36.10 | 0.53 | 19.06 |
| 13 | Dragons | 36.97 | 0.50 | 18.61 |
| 14 | Knights | 36.63 | 0.47 | 17.06 |
| 15 | Eels | 37.44 | 0.43 | 15.97 |
| 16 | Tigers | 36.67 | 0.43 | 15.71 |
| Defence | ||||
| Rank | Team | Sets Conceded | Expected Points Concededper Set | Defensive Rating |
| 1 | Storm | 36.52 | 0.42 | 15.31 |
| 2 | Roosters | 36.84 | 0.42 | 15.59 |
| 3 | Sharks | 35.72 | 0.49 | 17.67 |
| 4 | Bulldogs | 36.66 | 0.50 | 18.44 |
| 5 | Rabbitohs | 36.17 | 0.52 | 18.78 |
| 6 | Warriors | 36.47 | 0.52 | 19.03 |
| 7 | Dragons | 38.72 | 0.55 | 20.01 |
| 8 | Panthers | 37.31 | 0.56 | 21.01 |
| 9 | Tigers | 39.81 | 0.54 | 21.22 |
| 10 | Broncos | 36.74 | 0.54 | 21.54 |
| 11 | Cowboys | 35.75 | 0.61 | 21.80 |
| 12 | Raiders | 36.37 | 0.61 | 22.27 |
| 13 | Eels | 38.15 | 0.60 | 22.97 |
| 14 | Titans | 38.59 | 0.61 | 23.44 |
| 15 | Knights | 37.94 | 0.65 | 24.63 |
| 16 | Sea Eagles | 37.13 | 0.74 | 27.58 |
| Net | ||||
| Rank | Team | Strength of Schedule | Future Strength of Schedule | Net Rating |
| 1 | Roosters | -0.80 | 9.17 | 7.67 |
| 2 | Storm | -0.81 | 4.58 | 6.14 |
| 3 | Sharks | -0.37 | 7.64 | 6.08 |
| 4 | Broncos | 0.44 | -4.03 | 5.99 |
| 5 | Rabbitohs | -0.22 | 7.64 | 5.44 |
| 6 | Bulldogs | 0.46 | 0 | 1.15 |
| 7 | Raiders | -0.15 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 8 | Panthers | -0.67 | -1.47 | 0.18 |
| 9 | Warriors | 0.86 | 1.68 | 0.03 |
| 10 | Cowboys | 0.74 | 0 | -1.34 |
| 11 | Titans | 0.35 | 0 | -2.47 |
| 12 | Dragons | 0.43 | 7.59 | -2.53 |
| 13 | Tigers | 0.18 | 0 | -5.64 |
| 14 | Eels | -0.15 | 0 | -6.57 |
| 15 | Sea Eagles | 0.27 | 0 | -6.88 |
| 16 | Knights | 0.17 | 0 | -7.27 |
| Quantified Luck | ||||
| Rank | Team | Pythagorean Wins | Pythagorean SoS | Luck |
| 1 | Panthers | 13.25 | 11.45 | -2.34 |
| 2 | Tigers | 9.77 | 12.18 | -2.09 |
| 3 | Sharks | 14.29 | 11.81 | -1.94 |
| 4 | Warriors | 12.62 | 12.49 | -1.93 |
| 5 | Dragons | 13.12 | 12.10 | -1.81 |
| 6 | Broncos | 13.20 | 12.27 | -1.57 |
| 7 | Rabbitohs | 15.17 | 11.83 | -1.03 |
| 8 | Knights | 7.84 | 12.28 | -0.91 |
| 9 | Storm | 16.23 | 11.53 | -0.28 |
| 10 | Roosters | 16.39 | 11.58 | -0.06 |
| 11 | Eels | 7.81 | 12.04 | 1.81 |
| 12 | Titans | 9.65 | 12.28 | 1.90 |
| 13 | Raiders | 12.47 | 11.90 | 2.34 |
| 14 | Sea Eagles | 9.56 | 12.07 | 2.59 |
| 15 | Cowboys | 10.32 | 12.37 | 2.66 |
| 16 | Bulldogs | 10.85 | 12.38 | 3.19 |
| Ball Movement | |||||||
| Rank | Team | Dummy-Half Runs | One-Pass-Hitups | Line Engagements | General Play Passes | Offloads | Ball Movement % |
| 1 | Rabbitohs | 16.97% | -12.97% | 36.89% | 30.14% | 6.23% | 69.25% |
| 2 | Sharks | -6.50% | 0.67% | 8.49% | 9.85% | 19.24% | 43.41% |
| 3 | Sea Eagles | -34.43% | -3.34% | -13.23% | 1.33% | 14.91% | 40.77% |
| 4 | Panthers | -4.07% | -10.07% | 7.70% | 4.81% | 13.17% | 39.82% |
| 5 | Cowboys | -27.55% | -5.07% | 17.39% | 15.50% | -32.79% | 32.71% |
| 6 | Warriors | 1.19% | 2.52% | -0.67% | 0.29% | 30.08% | 25.99% |
| 7 | Titans | -9.33% | -1.86% | 1.03% | 2.03% | -6.34% | 7.91% |
| 8 | Roosters | -49.00% | 9.61% | -5.12% | -8.14% | -25.85% | 0.27% |
| 9 | Dragons | 18.59% | 9.49% | 1.16% | 0.24% | 21.41% | -5.27% |
| 10 | Storm | 17.78% | -0.94% | 4.04% | -9.97% | 2.76% | -20.01% |
| 11 | Tigers | 26.69% | -0.44% | -7.08% | -6.14% | 14.04% | -25.43% |
| 12 | Bulldogs | 32.36% | 6.22% | -2.50% | 1.63% | 11.87% | -27.57% |
| 13 | Knights | -11.76% | -2.42% | -8.39% | -4.75% | -31.49% | -30.45% |
| 14 | Eels | 13.33% | 2.46% | -8.39% | -3.14% | -12.85% | -40.17% |
| 15 | Broncos | -12.98% | 13.00% | -17.29% | -16.79% | -15.88% | -49.99% |
| 16 | Raiders | 28.71% | -6.86% | -14.02% | -16.88% | -8.51% | -61.26% |
